Is it safe to be optimistic?
2 June 2009
If you’re a glass half full variety of person, the glass is now looking very promising. The first quarter was good and the second quarter looks like it will be good too.
Several banks have big hiring plans in M&A, recruitment is taking place in prime broking, and Barclays is going wild in cash equities.
As well as this, bonuses and guaranteed bonuses are making a comeback, and banking analyst Dick Bove keeps issuing research saying that we’re on the cusp of a new Golden Age of banking because –
• The industry’s balance sheet is stronger than ever.
• Revenue growth has reappeared.
• Costs are under control.
• Cash earnings are at an all-time record.
• Loan losses will plummet in a recovering economy.
Nevertheless, sneaking glass half empty sensations remain. So tell us, is the glass about to get washed away by a tide of consumer debt, or is everything really FINE?
UK






Optimists are deluding themselves. The fundamentals of this recession are such that it will go on, and on, and on.
Don't you dare be bullish now 02 Jun 2009
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