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  • Most people expect bonuses to be…up

    Forget layoffs, write-downs and diminishing profits, the average banker is confident of a nearly 9% increase in bonus compared to last year. At least this is the finding of a survey by recruitment firm Joslin Rowe. Some 500 financial services professionals (most of them likely to be in the back and middle office, given this is JR’s speciality) told the company they expected bonuses to be up 8.9% on last year. Tara... Read more

  • Editor’s take: The big spending squeeze

    Think your bonus might be less than last year? Wait until it hits your wallet. Getting a grip on bonus predictions is not dissimilar to taking a firm hand with one of those toys comprised of a balloon-shaped snake filled with water: one moment you’ve contained it, the next it’s leapt from your grasp and is on the floor gathering fluff. With even line managers uncertain about the size of bonus pools... Read more

  • Who will get paid? And who won’t?

    Headhunters Armstrong International and Options Group have both now unveiled their forecasts for 2007 bonuses. They’re not entirely in agreement. The top line …is that bonuses will be down, down, down. According to Armstrong’s report (which we haven’t actually seen, but which is plastered all over the press this morning), the average banker will see his/her payout decline 20%. It predicts a higher proportion will be in shares, with UBS now said... Read more

  • The UBS bonus question

    Rumours are flying thick and fast about the likely structure of bonuses at UBS this year. UBS has already officially indicated that it will be paying a higher proportion of bonuses in stock after reporting its first quarterly loss for half a decade and predicting a full year loss for its securities unit. More colour is emerging on what this 'higher proportion of stock' might look like. According to one headhunter,... Read more

  • The Outsider: Bonus time and the importance of not blinking

    Don’t underplay your achievements, says ex-banker and author David Charters. And don’t high five your boss when your bonus is less derisory than anticipated. It’s that time of year again. Team leaders, senior managing directors and members of the Management Committee are huddling together in glass-walled meeting rooms at the edge of the trading floor, poring over lists of names and numbers. From time to time they pause and look up,... Read more

  • European banks’ bonuses: all down, Deutsche down the most

    Average bonuses at Deutsche Bank look set to fall 22%; bonuses at UBS are liable to decline 10%; and those at Credit Suisse should slip 3.4%. Results from the three European banks that revealed their 3Q performance this week show all are set to reduce average bonus payouts for investment bankers this year compared to last. Compensation and benefits expenditure for their investment banking divisions for the year to date, averaged over... Read more

  • Junior private equity staff not carried away with carried interest

    Lower-level private equity professionals have seen sharp pay increases, but are still missing out on the most lucrative carried interest incentives. The 2007 Private Equity Analyst-Holt Compensation Study reveals junior private equity pros – principal, associate, senior associate and analyst – have seen the juiciest pay hikes this year. The median pay rise was 29.2% at these levels, taking the average package to $215k (£103k) including bonus. But while salaries and bonuses... Read more

  • Less cash, more stock

    Here’s a scary thought for Hallowe'en: not only will bonuses be down, more of them will be paid in stock. DealBook reports that UBS has every intention of upping the stock element of bonuses after the Swiss bank reported a CHF830m ($712m) 3Q loss and plummeting profits for the first nine months of the year. Rumour has it that Deutsche, which today revealed a 40% cut in 3Q compensation expenditure, is considering... Read more

  • Will private bankers get paid?

    Private bankers have done well this year. Whether they’ll see any money as a result of their efforts is another question. UBS’s results underscore the extent to which private bankers are inhabiting a warmer and friendlier planet than their investment banking colleagues. While UBS’s investment bank lost a mammoth CHF3.7bn in 3Q07, the private bank reeled in CHF$2.4bn. According to research firm Creditsights, the Swiss bank’s global wealth management and business... Read more

  • Beware the guaranteed bonus brigade

    Redundancies are imminent, everyone’s afraid for their jobs, and along comes a throng of new hires on guaranteed bonuses. Guaranteed bonuses mean precisely that – recipients are guaranteed the bonus specified in their contract regardless of the situation. “You can’t be laid off,” explains Adam Jama of search firm Napier Scott. “If they get rid of you, you will still get your guaranteed bonus – if you’ve been promised $1m, you... Read more

  • Credit professionals succumb to irrational optimism

    A recent survey suggests credit professionals are expecting bonuses to rise by an average of 10% this year. Pigs, as they say, will fly. The survey, of 236 credit types engaged in everything from prop trading to quantitative analysis, strategy, sales and research, found that around 10% expect 2007 bonuses to be double last year’s and around 17% expect bonuses to rise by between 75% and 100%. On balance, 40% expect bonuses... Read more

  • Cashing out at ABN

    ABN AMRO’s historic generosity with stock and options means its bankers stand to do rather well out of the sale to RBS. “ABN AMRO had a habit of paying a ridiculously high proportion of bonuses as restricted stock or options,” says one headhunter. “In some cases it could be as high as 50%. Those people will be sitting on healthy gains following the sale of the wholesale bank to RBS.” Royal Bank... Read more

  • Guest comment: Redundancy and your rights to a bonus

    Philip Landau, partner at London law firm Landau Zeffert Weir, says banks hold most of the cards when it comes to bonuses and redundancies. Announcements in this and recent weeks suggest the investment banking industry is once again getting ready to slash staff and cut costs. What are your rights to an annual bonus if you find yourself at the sharp end of this policy? Unfortunately, they may be fairly few, depending... Read more

  • Bigger redundancy payoffs at small houses

    Smaller firms may be more generous when it comes to paying off staff who’ve been unceremoniously dumped. Philip Landau, partner at London law firm Landau Zeffertt Weir, says he’s come across two banks in the past week which are letting go of staff before bonuses are paid, and compensating them with a bonus pro-rated for the first 10 months of the year. Common practice in the banking industry is to pay a... Read more

  • The non-dom bomb

    The Tories want to levy a £25k flat tax on non-domiciled foreigners living in the UK. Will it really make any difference to bankers? Not according to the head of recruitment at one US house in London. “This is exactly the same as the chancellor whacking a £400 per year environmental tax on £60k Chelsea tractors [four wheel drive vehicles],” he says. “It will make a difference to the Revenue’s coffers,... Read more

  • Guest comment: Last year's bonuses were as good as it gets

    With the exception of Goldman, bonuses are all downhill from here, says author and ex-banker William Cohan. As assuredly as the swallows return each year to Capistrano, the closer the Wall Street calendar gets to bonus day, the more assiduously investment banking managers look for excuses to reduce the annual payouts – many of which run into the millions of dollars (and pounds) – to their bankers and traders. Last year, with... Read more

  • Nicely fixed in FX?

    Foreign exchange teams have done well this year, but they're unlikely to be fully compensated for their efforts. According to a study by the Bank for International Settlements reported in The Times, Britain is the world's largest centre of FX activity, with trading up 71% in three years. But FX Week, the FX specialist publication, points out that most of the gains made in the last quarter by diligent FX teams... Read more

  • Guest comment: Time to moderate bonus expectations

    Andrew Pullman, founder of City HR consultancy People Risk Solutions, says the pain will be less if you can be realistic about bonuses. What an apt quote on the financial markets by Warren Buffett: "It's only when the tide goes out that you discover who's been swimming naked." Over the last few weeks, given the choppy seas of global markets, many investment bankers and hedge fund managers have been desperately searching for fig... Read more

  • Bonus cuts biggest at top

    Banks are preparing to use their tribulations as an excuse for slicing viciously into pay. Senior staff look set to suffer the deepest incisions. "Bonuses will be worse than many expect," says Lee Thacker, a partner in the financial services practice at Heidrick & Struggles. "You don't get these kind of asset write-downs without getting some severe pain in the bonus pool." Brad Hintz, analyst at Sanford Bernstein in New York, says... Read more

  • Big bonuses at GS, small ones everywhere else?

    Our analysis suggests bankers at Goldman are on track for bonuses twice as high as those at rival firms. Following this week's third quarter results and assuming the fourth quarter doesn't contain any nasty surprises, we calculate that the average Goldman banker is set to receive total compensation of £374k this year. By comparison, bankers at Lehman can count on a meagre-ish £168k, and those at Bear Stearns can expect an all... Read more

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