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End of the road for quants

24 February 2009

Sarah Butcher

What’s a PhD with a bias towards quantitative finance to do? Banks have gone from screaming from the rooftops that they want quants, to whispering that they're only interested in a select handful of them. This leaves a lot of people on the sidelines.

Quant recruiters (several of whom seem to have disappeared from the face of the earth) all agree that it’s fresh PhDs who are suffering most. “In this market, banks only want people who already know the models they’re pricing and can do the job straight away,” says one.

“It’s pretty ropy at the junior end,” agrees Leon Devereux at NJF Search. “Most banks have completely shut up shop for those kinds of hires.”

Senior quants are also suffering, with most desk head positions already full. The few jobs that exist are apparently for mid-ranking quants (2-4 years’ experience) and at houses no one’s heard of.

“If you’ve heard of the firm, they’re not hiring,” says Dominic Connor of P&D Quantitative Recruitment. “Most big banks have got hiring freezes.”

There is some quant hiring action though. Connor say there’s need for quants to work on ‘model validation’ in risk teams, although with fewer models being built there’s less of a need for this than in the past.

Consultancy firms like KPMG are also said to be selectively hiring quants with a view to winning mandates from the Treasury. According to one consultant, the government will have a substantial need for quant skills sometime in the near future.

“They are quietly laying the foundations to plans to build a bad bank, probably out of RBS,” he says. “They’re going to need people to price and manage all this stuff.”

Failing that, one recruiters says there are a few jobs in hedge funds. “There’s a need for PhDs to work on systematic strategies and algorithmic trading models,” he says. “But funds want people experienced with dealing with noisy high frequency data sets, rather than the physicists and stochastic calculus experts previously sought after by banks.”

Comments (50)

people attack quants like this because they are afraid. How would anyone do anything without a quant - how can you come up with a price or risk manage for anything more exotic than spot without modeling it?

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Comments (50)

  • 2cents:
    1.)
    When there is a profit everybody talks about how much money traders  earned.

    When there is a loss everybody talks about how much money quants lost (i.e. how inaccurate models are).

    Bear in mind that decision is made by traders. These have upside and take big risk margins.

    2007-8 was about: "Lets win this deal !"
    Price was relevant, risk was important but irrelevant in this case.

    2.)
    Bosses started hiring quant devs rather than quants.

    Yes, there is distinction, quants are skilled in finance, programming and math.
    Quant devs are skilled in programming and some of them know a little bit of finance.

    There is a lot of work for both of them !

    arkadij 05 Jan 2010

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  • Guys, you just don't seem to get it. It's not the case of "good quants vs bad MBAs". It's the case of what was going on in the industry in the 70s or 80s, or in defence in the early 90s, or in software engeneering in early 2000s - "we just don't need that much people". Only worse, as quants are practically useless in any other field, and as it is questioned whether we need complex OTC swaps we're supposed to understand in the first place.

    Other than that, quite a few of modern wizards have a completely wrong background. Theoretical physics is applicable only in a very narrow scenario of stochastic calculus, which we currently know does not hold particularly well. I'm not sure we can fully price our vanilla options on a bunch of products on the markets. Instead, everyone was happily banging on "stochastic calculus", even when it was clear that the more markets are going up in a bubble, the more it looks like a stochastic process.

    Industry needs to change, and stochastic calculus, theoretical physics and complex financial products will need to shrink down to size - to a very, very small size.

    Andy 02 May 2009

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  • Are there some chances for the fresh PhD quants to be hired on corp. fin/pure trading positions?

    galad 30 Apr 2009

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  • @FY:  Thats all I had to do ... BTW, your mother was my dissertation advisor.

    AgeOfDarwinism 04 Mar 2009

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  • student,
    while I agree with some observations, but  i also think "wiseoldman"is right in the sense, most quant's arent really bothered about other stuff..

    Basically what we really need in the industry is some basic level of

    1.  math.. stochastic calculus (Shreve, Kwok),
    2. some basic level of IT (Matlab, c++), and some basic level of
    3. finance knowledge... MBA/CFA level II..

    dr-xei 28 Feb 2009

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  • "oh dear.  You actually know nothing. The sentence above doesn't really make sense"
    the sentence doesnt make sense to u, and i know nothing? try to read again, might help.. (hint..first try to find which side i am speaking for.. etc)

    "In quantitative RM and pricing - techniques allow for incompleteness and discreteness ANYWAY"

    not talking about incompleteness due to operational limitations (like continuos hedging),  or such stuff.. I am talking about imcompleteness in terms of replication and hedging,which is where vanilla options are OK, CDO squared have issues.

    Dude u r missing the point...which was...  bad application of maths in one odd case doesnt make maths bad..

    "You really think the tiny amount of quant stuff you have been taught on some fluffy finance course is what is actually used? "
    been in industry 13 yrs.. doing a phD.. and not in finance.. lesson - Assumption is the mother of all muck ups..

    "classic example of how the general public have this witchhunt on for quants"
    again... try 2 figure out which side i was on.. (summary .. am for quants, against MBA's)

    student 27 Feb 2009

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  • "In fact, some of these products violated the market completeness requirements for true hedging required by the math theory."

    oh dear.  You actually know nothing.  The sentence above doesn't really make sense.

    But anyway - which market is complete?  In quantitative RM and pricing - techniques allow for incompleteness and discreteness ANYWAY - e.g. hedging frequency is not done continuously or is ever .  You really think the tiny amount of quant stuff you have been taught on some fluffy finance course is what is actually used?

    This is a classic example of how the general public have this witchhunt on for quants - they simply do not understand anything to do otherwise

    ponterotto 26 Feb 2009

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  • student...the real question is...why would a quant WANT to pick up a econ / accounting / corp fin textbook? The quants I know have made their choice and are quite happy with it. Broader economics / strategy etc is like a nice-to-know-in-my-spare-time type of thing for them. Not necessary for their job. They don't WANT to know about MBA language. So the MBA grads fill their niche and the quants fill their niche.

    wiseoldman 26 Feb 2009

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  • So I guess, as a newly graduated quant, I should not feed too high hopes for Banking entrance, but best just change to a more safe sector.

    veritas 26 Feb 2009

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  • 1 This is a case of jumping into wrong conclusions without analyzing  data.

    Agreed nobody in financial sector is hiring quants right now.

    But I have NOT seen ads saying "Citi needs 314 MBA's with no quantitive knowledge" either.

    They are NOT HIRING. PERIOD.

    2.The current crisis has many points of failures.

    True, you can blame some models (used across the board, even the rating agencies) modelling correlations incorrectly ETC. In fact, some of these products violated the market completeness requirements for true hedging required by the math theory.

    But, what about the thousands of sales people and portfolio managers (MBA types) who bought the structured products? The decision makers in various banks were MBA's, and it all happened under their noses.

    Who was the BIGGER FOOL here?

    3. Facts -
    A) Financial sector will remain.
    B) Derivatives will remain
    C) It IS EASY for a maths/physics/quant finance post grad to read and understand a few books on pure economics, capital markets and finance.. and talk the talk like MBA's
    D) It is NOT EASY for an MBA (without some quantitative maters) to read and understand stochastic calculus.

    student 26 Feb 2009

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